Time to kill the Munich Meme.

[The Comrade]

and the basis of yours is....your opinion. your own report acknowledges numbers after 3 months are impossible to calculate, yet you seem to think you can.

[exploited]

Fine, don't accept that number. Stick with just the known number - $1-2 trillion in the first three months.

What do you think that will do to the economy, Comrade? Will it hurt a little or alot? Well, let's see...



http://www.fuelfreedom.org/the-real-for ... economics/

Economist James Hamilton of the University of California, San Diego, who has researched the correlation between U.S. economic activity and oil prices, found that 10 of the last 11 recessions were preceded by spikes in oil prices
...

American households spent a record $4,000 each on gasoline in 2011, 8.4% of their total income. Overall, the U.S. spent more on fuel–$700 billion — in 2011 than on food–$600 billion. The average U.S. household spends more each year on transportation than on clothing, healthcare and entertainment combined. Households also spend nearly as much on gasoline each month as they do on car payments.

...

The very minimal cost increase presented by all experts is 100% - the same number that tends to lead to recessions. Also note that this would double the average Americans fuel costs to nearly 20% of their income... at least for three months.

So, 1/8th of the annual GDP of the US is lost in just three months. The cost of fuel has doubled, destroying the livelihood and viability of tens of millions of Americans, who simply cannot afford an additional $1000 for fuel over three months. And the economy is likely to slip into recession. And yet you would have us believe this war is winnable because the US destroys the military of a third world country? Really?

All of this doesn't even take into account the actual cost of the war... and as I have demonstrated, the unanimous opinion of a panel of three experts is that the war would require boots on the ground. At the very least, a Desert Storm size of operation. All of them also agreed that occupation would probably be necessary to prevent massive Iranian retaliation in the region. In other words, you can bet that the war will cost at least $1 trillion, not including long-term health care costs and financial obligations to troops.

Of course Iran is exponentially bigger than Iraq or Afghanistan combined... so the costs of the operation will likely be at least double or triple that of those respective wars.

So, now we're back to my original point, which I have proven again and again and again: the United States can destroy Iran and it's influence only if it doesn't care about the political, human and economic costs... which would be utterly impossible to do.

And you're done.

[The Comrade]